Minggu, 09 Juli 2017

Winklevoss twins lose bid for bitcoin trade fund

WASHINGTON - The irrepressible Winklevoss twins, known for having sued Mark Zuckerberg over the idea for Facebook, have suffered a setback from federal regulators in their push to expand the use of bitcoin to a wider universe of investors.

The Securities and Exchange Commission rejected Friday a proposed Winklevoss exchange-traded fund that could have opened the digital currency to larger numbers of ordinary investors.

The SEC said the proposal from Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss was inconsistent with rules for securities exchanges designed to prevent fraud and manipulation, and to protect investors.

Bitcoin, which is stored in encrypted digital wallets, allows people to buy goods and services and exchange money without involving banks, credit card issuers or other third parties. About 8 years old, it has yet to be broadly embraced and has been prone to wild price swings.

The value of a single bitcoin fell 7.6% to $1,101 on Friday following news of the SEC’s rejection. Since 2013, its value has rocketed from $13 to a peak of around $1,300. On a given day, bitcoin can fluctuate by 20% or more. It’s increased nearly 30% so far this year.

Currently the ways of buying and investing in bitcoin are fairly limited: on online exchanges or through a trust that charges premium prices.

The 35-year-old identical-twin entrepreneurs have been evangelists for bitcoin in recent years, insisting it could even replace gold as a stable currency. They’ve promoted their company Gemini as a stock market for bitcoin. Last year, New York state approved regulations governing a new exchange operated by Gemini for a virtual currency called Ether.

In a 38-page order posted on its website, the SEC rejected the application by the Winklevoss brothers and the BATS BZX Exchange to list and trade Winklevoss Bitcoin Shares, an exchange-traded fund based on bitcoin.

“The significant markets for bitcoin are unregulated,” the agency said in the order. Because of that, the exchange wouldn’t be able to work with “significant, regulated” markets for trading bitcoin to properly oversee trading in the fund, the SEC said.


Bitcoin still is in the early stages of its development, the SEC noted, adding that, “Over time, regulated bitcoin-related markets of significant size may develop.” At that point, the agency would reconsider its position.

“We remain optimistic and committed to bringing (a bitcoin exchange-traded fund) to market, and look forward to continuing to work with the SEC staff,” Tyler Winklevoss said.

Bitcoins are basically lines of computer code that are digitally signed each time they travel from one owner to the next. It’s designed for secure financial transactions that require no central authority — no banks, no government regulators. That makes it attractive to off-the-grid types such as libertarians, people who want to evade tax authorities, and criminals, even though bitcoin doesn’t guarantee anonymity, since it documents every transaction in a public forum.

Exchange-traded funds have grown in popularity among individual investors. They track a market index, a commodity, bonds or a basket of assets. Unlike mutual funds, ETFs trade like common stock on a stock exchange. Their prices change throughout the day as they are bought and sold. ETFs usually carry lower fees than mutual fund shares.

Many of the problems around bitcoin occur at places where people store their digital cash or exchange it for traditional currencies like dollars or euros. If an exchange has sloppy security, or if someone’s electronic wallet is compromised, the money can easily be stolen.

“Bitcoin still has a long way to go before it should be relied upon as a mainstream means of transaction or even for investment speculation,” says Mark Williams, a former Federal Reserve examiner who teaches finance at Boston University.

In comments to the SEC on the Winklevoss ETF proposal, Williams wrote, “There are several fundamental flaws that make bitcoin a dangerous asset class to force into an ETF structure.” Among them, he listed light trading volume, excessive hoarding, extreme price volatility, the difficulty of selling large blocks of bitcoin quickly, high risk of bankruptcy and market manipulation.

Bitcoin hits record $2,000 — and rising

SAN FRANCISCO — Bitcoin, sometimes frowned upon as a currency of the underworld, is fast gaining currency in the financial world.

The crypto-currency soared past $2,000 for the first time over the weekend as investors increasingly treat it as a new gold standard and countries such as Japan and China integrate it into their banking systems. On Monday, it traded 6% higher at $2,182.74, according to CoinDesk. (By late Wednesday, it had surged to $2,500, up more than 150% for the year.)

"It will continue to rise in price as inflation goes higher and there is world turmoil," says Jonathan Johnson, president of Medici Ventures, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Overstock.com that focuses on blockchain, the technology that underlies digital assets such as bitcoin, allowing it to be tracked and secure. Johnson was instrumental in the decision by e-commerce company Overstock to begin accepting bitcoin in January 2014.

"Bitcoin is a safe investment," Johnson says.

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There have been plenty of skeptics about bitcoin during its popular but volatile rise, from former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, to users who were burned by the bankruptcy of bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox and ensuing plunge in prices.

The predilection among criminals to use the peer-to-peer currency, as well as its place outside traditional banking systems and regulations, has stymied some of its advocates' best-laid plans. In March, the Securities and Exchange Commission rejected a proposal for the first exchange-traded fund that would track bitcoin's price, citing the currency's unregulated market.

But global demand has offset those concerns.

After Japanese regulators introduced rules this spring that recognize bitcoin as a legal method of payment, investors flocked to swap yen for bitcoin in a frenzy of trading activity. In China, analysts attribute a spike in bitcoin sales to a significant drop in the difference in bitcoin prices between U.S. and Chinese exchanges.

Companies and governments are embracing the currency for several reasons: It's easy to transfer overseas without  high surcharges; it offers simple, anonymous transactions online; and it is supported by a secure digital infrastructure.

"It doesn't surprise me at all that the price of bitcoin has been bid up," says Perianne Boring, president of the Chamber of Digital Commerce. "(Crypto-currencies) Ethereum and Ripple are also surging strongly."

"The run-up in value isn't what's important — it's the fact that is has the potential to be a whole new kind of currency on the planet," says Mark Johnson, a long-time bitcoin investor who is CEO of Descartes Labs, which analyzes complex satellite images.

Much of the attention around bitcoin has centered on its use by criminal enterprises, the latest being the demand of ransom — via bitcoin payment — from WannaCry, the group behind the world-wide hack that reached 150 countries this month.

That may be changing as the price of bitcoin continues its ascent, validating Web browser pioneer and venture capitalist Marc Andreessen's prediction in 2014 that blockchain had the potential to become a multi-billion dollar technological breakthrough.

Boost VC was the first fund to back a bitcoin-related start-up, Coinbase, in 2012, says Adam Draper, managing director of Boost. Today it backs more than 60 blockchain- and bitcoin-related start-ups "because I trust bitcoin more than I trust my bank," Draper says.

Bitcoin prices likely to continue wild ride

SAN FRANCISCO — What goes precipitously up, often comes crashing down to earth.

So it was with bitcoin on Thursday, when the price of the digital currency plunged 19% — its steepest drop in more than two years — after a record run. The volatility remained on full display late Thursday and, as of Friday evening, bitcoin rebounded to $2,484.59.

The cryptocurrency, which flirted with $3,000 on Monday, sunk as low as $2,076.16 in intraday trading early Thursday amid a confluence of bad omens. Tech stocks have recently taken a thumping over concerns about their lofty valuations. Ominous reports from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley suggested bitcoin was due for a reversal in price and required government regulation. The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates Wednesday.

Compounding worries, digital currency exchange Coinbase experienced an outage Monday because of high-trading volume. Another exchange, Bitfinex, on Tuesday said it was under DDOS attack.


Meanwhile, prices for digital currencies ripple and NEM declined the past week, though Ethereum, the second-largest currency, has soared 20% on speculation it will be the top currency. At $371.36, it lags far behind bitcoin in value.

CryptoCurrency Market Capitalizations
"Bitcoin and other digital currencies are experiencing rapid growth these days," says Guy Zyskind, CEO of Enigma, a start-up in cryptocurrency investing. "For this to be sustainable over time, the market has to correct itself from time to time."

The market's wild ride this week underscores "the ebbs and flows of an entirely new asset class," says Bill Barhydt, CEO of Abra, a peer-to-peer payment service.

"While the bitcoin price will likely recover and continue to rise, what we should see in the future is bitcoin becoming a solid store of value, much like gold," says Mihir Magudia, executive director of LEOcoin Foundation. "It will be relatively easy to liquidate but will not be used to commonly pay for goods and services."

Is bitcoin a good investment for retirement?

Bitcoin certainly has lots of potential, but that doesn't mean you should risk your future to buy it.

Bitcoin has performed extremely well in 2017, up more than 200% year-to-date as I write this. Even more significantly, the digital currency is becoming more widely accepted around the world. So, it may seem like a good idea to buy some bitcoin while it's still in the early stages as part of your retirement investing strategy.

Is bitcoin in a bubble, or is it just getting started?

Just before I wrote this article, bitcoin traded above $3,000 for the first time, with this latest leg up mainly fueled by high demand from Asian investors.

There are some who say that bitcoin could now be in a bubble. For example, billionaire Mark Cuban recently said that the digital currency is in a bubble and that it's headed for a correction. "When everyone is bragging about how easy they are making (money) = bubble," Cuban said on Twitter. "Everyone always thinks that this time is different..."

However, Cuban also emphasized that he's not saying bitcoin is worthless. The underlying blockchain technology, Cuban says, is very valuable and will be in widespread use in the future. "I'm not questioning value. I'm questioning valuation," said Cuban.

On the other hand, there's also a good case to be made that bitcoin could potentially go much higher. As I wrote in a recent article, it's possible for bitcoin to rise to $1 million under the right circumstances -- specifically, if the currency gets widespread mainstream acceptance and becomes a major player in the global currency market. To be clear, I don't think it's particularly likely to get anywhere near that amount, but it's certainly possible.

Don't be blinded by bitcoin's potential

Here's the main point of this discussion. Just because something has the potential for massive growth doesn't make it a good investment, especially for retirement.

When it comes to retirement investing, slow and steady is the way to go. You want stocks and bonds that aren't going to make you rich overnight, but are likely to grow at a steady pace and compound into a nice nest egg over time. An investment that could potentially make you a millionaire quickly, and is as volatile as bitcoin is should be avoided with retirement savings. It's important not to confuse investing with speculating or gambling. Think of bitcoin as a $3,000 lottery ticket that could potentially win you a lot more money.


Now, lottery tickets can be fun, and I confess to buying Powerball tickets myself when the jackpot gets big. However, I'm not going to pursue lottery winnings at the risk of my own financial comfort in retirement. While the odds of success are certainly higher with bitcoin than with Powerball, the same concept still applies. Sure, it could go to $1 million -- or it could drop back down to one-tenth of its current value, or less. Either scenario is possible, and it's just too much of a gamble to take with money you'll need in the future.

The right way to invest in bitcoin

The short answer to "Is bitcoin a good investment for retirement?" is a resounding no.

Having said that, however, there's nothing wrong with doing a bit of speculating in assets like bitcoin if and only if you're already doing a good job of saving and investing for retirement. In other words, if you're actively contributing to an IRA or are setting aside 10% or more of your salary in your employer's retirement plan, have a properly allocated retirement portfolio, and want to put a small amount of money into bitcoin in addition to this, there's nothing wrong with this approach.

I view this as a similar situation to investing some of your capital in risky stocks, but only as a compliment to a rock-solid "base." As a personal example, I own shares of Fitbit, which I consider to be highly speculative, but my largest stock positions are in well-established companies that won't make me rich quickly, but also have little risk of making me broke.

If you buy bitcoin with the idea that it's a speculative investment in mind, you're setting yourself up to take advantage if the price keeps going up, without putting your own retirement at risk if you're wrong.

Matthew Frankel owns shares of Fitbit and Twitter. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Fitbit and Twitter. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The Motley Fool is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news, analysis and commentary designed to help people take control of their financial lives. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY.

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How to invest in bitcoin

Average investors are often accused of buying high and selling low.

And that may very well be the case for investors who are jumping on the bitcoin bandwagon. Bitcoin, a digital currency, has doubled and then some since the start of 2017 (it’s risen from $1,016.30 on Jan. 2 to $2,469.38 as of June 16) and many investors are taking note that a $1,000 investment in bitcoin in 2010 would now be worth $35 million.

To be sure, many experts, including Goldman Sachs, are turning bearish on the digital currency at its current price. But that hasn’t stopped investors from asking the question: What about the long-term? Should I invest in bitcoin in my accounts earmarked for retirement, which could be decades away and then last for decades?

Does it fit in your portfolio?

In the main, as with any investment, experts say investors should evaluate the pros and cons. What’s more, investors should take the very same approach to investing in bitcoin as they would any other investment: Evaluate whether it meets the criteria established in your investment policy statement, which outlines your time horizon, risk tolerance and investment objective.

How to invest in bitcoin

Assuming you’ve done all that, Jack Tatar, co-author of “Cryptoassets: The Innovative Investor’s Guide to Bitcoin and Beyond,” says there several ways to invest in bitcoin and other digital currencies in a retirement account.

Bitcoin Investment Trust: The easiest way, he says, is to invest in the Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC), the first publicly quoted securities solely invested in and deriving value from the price of bitcoin. According to the investment firm that manages the fund, the trust enables investors to gain exposure to the price movement of bitcoin through a traditional investment vehicle, without the challenges of buying, storing and safekeeping bitcoins.

“The Bitcoin Investment Trust has an underlying value of 1/10 the price of bitcoin but it has been trading at a substantial premium, which indicates that there’s a real appetite for placement of bitcoin into investment accounts,” says Tatar. “In terms of advice, I would say that the Bitcoin Investment Trust is too pricey and should be avoided.”

ARK Innovation: Another publicly traded option, says Tatar, is the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), which invests in “disruptive/innovative technologies,” as well as the Bitcoin Investment Trust.

Self-directed IRAs: Most brokerage firms don’t allow investors to invest directly in bitcoin, or at least not yet. But investors can establish something called a self-directed IRA at firms such as Pensco, The Entrust Group, or the Millennium Trust Company and invest in bitcoins directly through those accounts. To do so, investors typically have to establish a legal entity that would allow them to invest in bitcoin. Qualified accredited investors also invest in the Ethereum Classic Investment Trust on those platforms as well. To be sure, self-directed IRAs can be more costly than traditional brokerage IRAs, but investors do get the chance to invest directly in bitcoin.

Another option, according to Tatar, is the Bitcoin IRA, which is a financial conduit pioneering the use of bitcoin as a retirement tool. “The Bitcoin IRA is simply a self-directed IRA which is a neat idea but requires a separate account away from typical retirement accounts held at wealth management firms,” says Tatar. “It also has an additional fee for their custody, and the like.”

The Bitcoin IRA also lets savers invest directly in ethereum, which according to Tatar, is another digital currency that has been on a “major run this year.”

Taxable accounts: Another option is to buy bitcoin or ethereum separately and directly in a taxable account versus an IRA, Roth IRA or similar retirement account. “Just follow proper asset allocation rules,” says Tatar. “And don’t invest no more than 10% of your overall portfolio. Even if it’s in a taxable account, view it as something to complement your retirement savings.”